Once again, work and writer’s block have intruded on the blog. Now I am uploading a couple of comments I wrote just after the US Elections. I’m not going to change it, and here it is in full unedited glory:
The ink has hardly settled on the ballot papers, and already British politicians are fighting over the reasons for Barack Obama’s victory. This involves taking the reason that suits you best. Hence, David Cameron thinks Obama won because of people want change and a fresh face. Gordon Brown naturally emphasises the “progressive” values he and Obama share. None of this is convincing. Cameron is sweeping under the carpet the inconvenient fact that he invited John McCain to speak at the 2006 Conservative Party Conference. Brown’s claim to have “progressive” values is also debatable, but that’s another story.
It is far too early to speculate on what effect an Obama presidency could have for
Britain. He doesn’t even take office properly until January. Other longer-term implications of his victory should be left until then because, quite frankly, we don’t know. There are a couple of points we can make right now though.
First, does Obama’s victory mean the triumph of “progressive politics”? Only up to a point. It depends on your interpretations of the figures from lots of different exit polls. Data from the McCain camp itself had 60% of voters seeing Obama as a “liberal”. The fact they still voted for him indicates that the term “liberal” may become less stigmatised. The very reason commentators now describe leftish ideas as progressive is because nutters such as Bill O’Reilly and Ann Coulter demean “liberals” as lily-livered, unpatriotic wets who would sell out America to terrorists quicker than you could say “cheese-eating surrender monkey”.
None of this worked. Not even McCain calling Obama a “socialist” made any difference. Those who voted Obama saw the economy as the top issue. By McCain’s own admission, he doesn’t understand economics as well as he should. His proposals to cut taxes and government waste sound tired.
Obama won the popular vote 52% to 46%, which does not sound like a great deal. It is probably true that the Democrats could have had Peter Mandelson in a chicken costume as their Presidential candidate, and still would have won. But 52% is the highest proportion of the vote by a Democrat for forty years. Only 26% of Americans describe themselves as “liberal”, but this figure will hopefully change over the next few years. America is still a very conservative country. The fact that 46% of Americans still voted Republican after eight years of Bush shows that. However, with the Republican Party about to engage in a long and, probably, bloody civil war, it is time for the liberal-left to fill the policy gap.
The second, and most inspiring, factor about the Obama win was the campaign he fought. It was a grassroots campaign, funded mainly by small donations. Almost half of all donations were of $200 or less, given mainly over the internet. In fairness, some oil company executives were Obama donors and fundraisers, but this is nothing approaching the millions the Republicans received from oil companies. Obama pledged to be free from corporate and lobby interests, and it is to be hoped that this pledge is kept now the election is won. His campaign relied on a huge army of volunteers; young and old, black and white. At his acceptance speech Obama made clear that the victory was about them, not him. Although he has been accused of fostering a ‘cult of personality’, notice the difference between his posters and Hillary Clinton’s in their marathon nomination campaign. Hillary’s posters had “HILLARY” and “CLINTON” screaming from every orifice. Obama, by contrast, was emphasising the need for “CHANGE”, and that timeless mantra beloved of Bob the Builder, “Yes we can”. No mention of his name at all.
Turnout in the election was 64% - the highest in the US since 1908. People voted in large numbers – many for the first time – because there was a clear policy choice for voters, and a message that inspired people to vote. Why do you think there is a low turnout in not just student elections, but general elections in the UK? Because there is not a clear choice for voters, and there is no POSITIVE programme to vote for. Labour’s message for the past two general elections has essentially been, “At least we’re not as crap as the Tories”. It’s hardly inspiring stuff.
Already I know of students in Birmingham wondering when Obama is going to be shot, or thinking he won’t make much difference, or that it “couldn’t happen in Britain”. Cheer up, people! Give the guy a chance. And don’t just assume that nothing can ever change, get off your backsides and DO SOMETHING.
That’s the main message we should take from Obama’s victory. You don’t have to be part of the political establishment. With the right message you can enthuse thousands of people to campaign for you, and make change through the ballot box.
There’s a long way to go, lots of problems and the journey is just beginning. Regardless of whether Obama is that fantastic a President, the fact that he can come from nowhere and enthuse so many normally apolitical and apathetic voters shows that in Britain we must be optimistic. Students of all political persuasions must be convinced that we can change Britain if we want to, using grassroots and internet campaigning. I’m tired of all this cynicism. Let’s get out there and build a better world.